Seasonality · EUR/AUD · 12 November 2026
EUR/AUD seasonality: is November bullish for EUR/AUD?
Over the last 14 years (2012 to 2025), EUR/AUD rose in November 6 times, with an average move of −0.10% and a median of −0.37%. December, the month ahead, has risen in 8 of 15 years, +0.45% on average (median +1.47%).
Its best month on average is August (+0.74%, up in 10 of 15) and its worst is October (−0.32%, up in 7 of 15).
The seasonal pattern: average return by month
Monthly seasonal returns, all 12 months
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Best | Worst | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | −0.25% | −0.15% | 7 of 15 | +3.58% (2020) | −3.45% (2026) | 2012–2026 |
| February | −0.19% | +0.09% | 8 of 15 | +2.39% (2020) | −2.96% (2017) | 2012–2026 |
| March | +0.13% | −0.47% | 7 of 15 | +5.94% (2020) | −4.30% (2022) | 2012–2026 |
| April | +0.40% | +0.67% | 10 of 15 | +4.06% (2017) | −6.59% (2020) | 2012–2026 |
| May | +0.54% | +0.19% | 8 of 15 | +6.48% (2013) | −3.69% (2018) | 2012–2026 |
| June | +0.01% | −0.12% | 7 of 15 | +5.01% (2013) | −3.46% (2016) | 2012–2026 |
| July | +0.09% | −0.41% | 5 of 15 | +4.46% (2013) | −5.43% (2012) | 2012–2026 |
| August | +0.74% | +0.51% | 10 of 15 | +4.82% (2015) | −2.24% (2014) | 2012–2026 |
| September | +0.08% | −0.41% | 7 of 15 | +3.68% (2022) | −2.27% (2013) | 2012–2026 |
| October | −0.32% | −0.46% | 7 of 15 | +3.11% (2024) | −3.96% (2021) | 2012–2026 |
| November (now) | −0.10% | −0.37% | 6 of 14 | +3.88% (2013) | −5.70% (2015) | 2012–2025 |
| December (next) | +0.45% | +1.47% | 8 of 15 | +4.98% (2018) | −3.63% (2011) | 2011–2025 |
Each month is the last 15 complete years of that month, from the Federal Reserve's daily exchange rates (H.10), month-end to month-end. The month in progress is not counted. History, not a forecast.
EUR/AUD in November, year by year
| November 2025 | +0.42% |
|---|---|
| November 2024 | −2.29% |
| November 2023 | −1.18% |
| November 2022 | −0.59% |
| November 2021 | +3.52% |
| November 2020 | −1.99% |
| November 2019 | +0.62% |
| November 2018 | −3.10% |
| November 2017 | +3.44% |
| November 2016 | −0.58% |
| November 2015 | −5.70% |
| November 2014 | +2.38% |
| November 2013 | +3.88% |
| November 2012 | −0.17% |
Questions
Is November bullish for EUR/AUD?
Over the last 14 years (2012 to 2025), EUR/AUD rose in November 6 times, with an average move of −0.10% and a median of −0.37%. That is no clear lean; the range runs from −5.70% (2015) to +3.88% (2013). A seasonal tendency is history, not a forecast.
What is the best month for EUR/AUD?
Its best month on average is August (+0.74%, up in 10 of 15) and its worst is October (−0.32%, up in 7 of 15). Measured over the last 15 years of each month, from the Federal Reserve's daily exchange rates (H.10), month-end to month-end.
What happens to EUR/AUD in December?
December, the month ahead, has risen in 8 of 15 years, +0.45% on average (median +1.47%).
How reliable is EUR/AUD seasonality?
Fifteen years is fifteen observations per month, so one large year can move an average a long way; the median and the count of up years are steadier. Seasonality is one input among several, and is weighed as one in the terminal's composite score.
More on EUR/AUD: EUR/AUD analysis · EUR/AUD rate differential · EUR/AUD retail sentiment · Euro outlook · Euro COT positioning · ECB rate expectations · Eurozone economic surprises · Australian Dollar outlook · Australian Dollar COT positioning · RBA rate expectations · Australian economic surprises
Other seasonality: EUR/USD in Nov −0.12% · AUD/USD in Nov +0.03% · EUR/GBP in Nov −0.67% · EUR/JPY in Nov +0.96% · EUR/CHF in Nov −0.27% · EUR/CAD in Nov +0.20% · EUR/NZD in Nov −1.09% · GBP/AUD in Nov +0.59% · AUD/JPY in Nov +1.10% · AUD/NZD in Nov −0.97% · all 39
In WatchTower Terminal, the Seasonality panel draws the EUR/AUD path through the year over 5, 10 and 15 years against this year. Not financial advice.