Seasonality · GBP/AUD · 12 November 2026
GBP/AUD seasonality: is November bullish for GBP/AUD?
Over the last 14 years (2012 to 2025), GBP/AUD rose in November 7 times, with an average move of +0.59% and a median of +0.19%. December, the month ahead, has risen in 6 of 15 years, +0.25% on average (median −0.34%).
Its best month on average is April (+0.71%, up in 10 of 15) and its worst is June (−0.70%, up in 7 of 15).
The seasonal pattern: average return by month
Monthly seasonal returns, all 12 months
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Best | Worst | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +0.08% | −0.42% | 7 of 15 | +4.36% (2020) | −2.87% (2013) | 2012–2026 |
| February | −0.22% | −0.12% | 7 of 15 | +3.66% (2019) | −3.73% (2026) | 2012–2026 |
| March | +0.05% | +0.30% | 8 of 15 | +4.18% (2012) | −5.10% (2022) | 2012–2026 |
| April | +0.71% | +0.89% | 10 of 15 | +5.45% (2017) | −4.77% (2020) | 2012–2026 |
| May | +0.39% | +0.25% | 8 of 15 | +5.49% (2013) | −3.99% (2020) | 2012–2026 |
| June | −0.70% | −0.27% | 7 of 15 | +5.01% (2013) | −11.19% (2016) | 2012–2026 |
| July | +0.18% | −0.01% | 7 of 15 | +4.45% (2015) | −2.72% (2012) | 2012–2026 |
| August | +0.19% | −0.01% | 7 of 15 | +2.98% (2012) | −2.74% (2022) | 2012–2026 |
| September | +0.31% | −0.32% | 7 of 15 | +5.21% (2017) | −3.32% (2023) | 2012–2026 |
| October | +0.04% | +0.04% | 8 of 15 | +4.12% (2022) | −5.48% (2016) | 2012–2026 |
| November (now) | +0.59% | +0.19% | 7 of 14 | +5.76% (2013) | −3.97% (2015) | 2012–2025 |
| December (next) | +0.25% | −0.34% | 6 of 15 | +3.89% (2014) | −2.94% (2017) | 2011–2025 |
Each month is the last 15 complete years of that month, from the Federal Reserve's daily exchange rates (H.10), month-end to month-end. The month in progress is not counted. History, not a forecast.
GBP/AUD in November, year by year
| November 2025 | +0.65% |
|---|---|
| November 2024 | −0.66% |
| November 2023 | −0.28% |
| November 2022 | −1.11% |
| November 2021 | +2.59% |
| November 2020 | −1.47% |
| November 2019 | +1.86% |
| November 2018 | −3.08% |
| November 2017 | +2.98% |
| November 2016 | +5.30% |
| November 2015 | −3.97% |
| November 2014 | +0.81% |
| November 2013 | +5.76% |
| November 2012 | −1.08% |
Questions
Is November bullish for GBP/AUD?
Over the last 14 years (2012 to 2025), GBP/AUD rose in November 7 times, with an average move of +0.59% and a median of +0.19%. That is no clear lean; the range runs from −3.97% (2015) to +5.76% (2013). A seasonal tendency is history, not a forecast.
What is the best month for GBP/AUD?
Its best month on average is April (+0.71%, up in 10 of 15) and its worst is June (−0.70%, up in 7 of 15). Measured over the last 15 years of each month, from the Federal Reserve's daily exchange rates (H.10), month-end to month-end.
What happens to GBP/AUD in December?
December, the month ahead, has risen in 6 of 15 years, +0.25% on average (median −0.34%).
How reliable is GBP/AUD seasonality?
Fifteen years is fifteen observations per month, so one large year can move an average a long way; the median and the count of up years are steadier. Seasonality is one input among several, and is weighed as one in the terminal's composite score.
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Other seasonality: GBP/USD in Nov +0.56% · AUD/USD in Nov +0.03% · EUR/GBP in Nov −0.67% · EUR/AUD in Nov −0.10% · GBP/JPY in Nov +1.68% · GBP/CHF in Nov +0.43% · GBP/CAD in Nov +0.88% · GBP/NZD in Nov −0.40% · AUD/JPY in Nov +1.10% · AUD/NZD in Nov −0.97% · all 39
In WatchTower Terminal, the Seasonality panel draws the GBP/AUD path through the year over 5, 10 and 15 years against this year. Not financial advice.