Seasonality · AUD/CHF · 12 November 2026
AUD/CHF seasonality: is November bullish for AUD/CHF?
Over the last 14 years (2012 to 2025), AUD/CHF rose in November 7 times, with an average move of −0.11% and a median of +0.02%. December, the month ahead, has risen in 6 of 15 years, −0.66% on average (median −1.31%).
Its best month on average is March (+0.23%, up in 7 of 15) and its worst is May (−0.86%, up in 5 of 15).
The seasonal pattern: average return by month
Monthly seasonal returns, all 12 months
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Best | Worst | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | −0.52% | −0.29% | 7 of 15 | +4.46% (2019) | −11.95% (2015) | 2012–2026 |
| February | +0.09% | −0.48% | 7 of 15 | +3.93% (2015) | −2.78% (2020) | 2012–2026 |
| March | +0.23% | −0.05% | 7 of 15 | +4.18% (2014) | −5.91% (2020) | 2012–2026 |
| April | −0.10% | −0.04% | 6 of 15 | +6.72% (2020) | −4.53% (2025) | 2012–2026 |
| May | −0.86% | −0.32% | 5 of 15 | +1.81% (2014) | −4.53% (2013) | 2012–2026 |
| June | −0.35% | +0.07% | 8 of 15 | +2.93% (2012) | −5.93% (2013) | 2012–2026 |
| July | −0.06% | +0.10% | 8 of 15 | +5.70% (2012) | −4.25% (2024) | 2012–2026 |
| August | −0.70% | −0.06% | 7 of 15 | +2.06% (2020) | −5.23% (2018) | 2012–2026 |
| September | +0.05% | +0.56% | 9 of 15 | +3.17% (2023) | −5.32% (2022) | 2012–2026 |
| October | +0.19% | +0.96% | 9 of 15 | +2.49% (2015) | −3.26% (2024) | 2012–2026 |
| November (now) | −0.11% | +0.02% | 7 of 14 | +5.79% (2015) | −5.08% (2021) | 2012–2025 |
| December (next) | −0.66% | −1.31% | 6 of 15 | +3.01% (2011) | −5.12% (2018) | 2011–2025 |
Each month is the last 15 complete years of that month, from the Federal Reserve's daily exchange rates (H.10), month-end to month-end. The month in progress is not counted. History, not a forecast.
AUD/CHF in November, year by year
| November 2025 | +0.20% |
|---|---|
| November 2024 | +1.44% |
| November 2023 | +0.15% |
| November 2022 | −0.41% |
| November 2021 | −5.08% |
| November 2020 | +3.47% |
| November 2019 | −0.51% |
| November 2018 | +2.40% |
| November 2017 | −2.54% |
| November 2016 | −0.03% |
| November 2015 | +5.79% |
| November 2014 | −2.69% |
| November 2013 | −3.75% |
| November 2012 | +0.06% |
Questions
Is November bullish for AUD/CHF?
Over the last 14 years (2012 to 2025), AUD/CHF rose in November 7 times, with an average move of −0.11% and a median of +0.02%. That is no clear lean; the range runs from −5.08% (2021) to +5.79% (2015). A seasonal tendency is history, not a forecast.
What is the best month for AUD/CHF?
Its best month on average is March (+0.23%, up in 7 of 15) and its worst is May (−0.86%, up in 5 of 15). Measured over the last 15 years of each month, from the Federal Reserve's daily exchange rates (H.10), month-end to month-end.
What happens to AUD/CHF in December?
December, the month ahead, has risen in 6 of 15 years, −0.66% on average (median −1.31%).
How reliable is AUD/CHF seasonality?
Fifteen years is fifteen observations per month, so one large year can move an average a long way; the median and the count of up years are steadier. Seasonality is one input among several, and is weighed as one in the terminal's composite score.
More on AUD/CHF: AUD/CHF analysis · AUD/CHF rate differential · AUD/CHF retail sentiment · Australian Dollar outlook · Australian Dollar COT positioning · RBA rate expectations · Australian economic surprises · Swiss Franc outlook · Swiss Franc COT positioning · SNB rate expectations · Swiss economic surprises
Other seasonality: USD/CHF in Nov −0.10% · AUD/USD in Nov +0.03% · EUR/CHF in Nov −0.27% · EUR/AUD in Nov −0.10% · GBP/CHF in Nov +0.43% · GBP/AUD in Nov +0.59% · AUD/JPY in Nov +1.10% · AUD/NZD in Nov −0.97% · AUD/CAD in Nov +0.34% · CHF/JPY in Nov +1.23% · all 39
In WatchTower Terminal, the Seasonality panel draws the AUD/CHF path through the year over 5, 10 and 15 years against this year. Not financial advice.