WatchTower

Positioning · retail sentiment · read at 08:31 UTC on 12 November 2026

EUR/GBP retail sentiment: long vs short

As of 08:31 UTC on 12 November 2026, 75% of retail traders are long EUR/GBP and 25% short, a long/short ratio of 3. A week earlier, on 5 November, 73% were long, so the crowd is 2 points more long this week.

The long share over 120 days

Over the 120 days the terminal holds (since 11 July), the long share has run from 31% to 95%; today's reading is higher than on 82% of those days.

Share of retail traders long EUR/GBP, daily, 11 Jul to 12 Nov 2026. The dashed line is 50%.

The COT view beside it

Speculators in euro futures are net short 78,559 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 0th percentile of their own range. Euro COT positioning

Speculators in pound futures are net long 26,663 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 49th percentile of their own range. British Pound COT positioning

Retail shows the crowd at retail brokers; the CFTC report shows speculators in futures, weekly. The two often sit on opposite sides. This week's full report: the COT report.

Questions

Are retail traders long or short EUR/GBP?

As of 08:31 UTC on 12 November 2026, 75% of retail traders are long EUR/GBP and 25% short, a long/short ratio of 3. The crowd leans long, 75% on one side.

How has EUR/GBP retail sentiment changed this week?

A week earlier, on 5 November, 73% were long, so the crowd is 2 points more long this week.

Is EUR/GBP retail positioning extreme?

Over the 120 days the terminal holds (since 11 July), the long share has run from 31% to 95%; today's reading is higher than on 82% of those days. That is inside its recent range rather than at an edge of it.

What does the COT report say about EUR/GBP?

Speculators in euro futures are net short 78,559 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 0th percentile of their own range. Speculators in pound futures are net long 26,663 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 49th percentile of their own range.

How do traders read retail sentiment?

Many traders read it as a contrarian gauge: a crowd leaning heavily one way has often been on the wrong side of the move that follows, and is the side forced out when price runs against it. It is a description of positioning, not a signal. In WatchTower Terminal's composite score retail positioning is read that way, at a weight of 10%, alongside CFTC positioning, rates and research.

More on EUR/GBP: EUR/GBP analysis · EUR/GBP rate differential · EUR/GBP seasonality · Euro outlook · Euro COT positioning · ECB rate expectations · Eurozone economic surprises · British Pound outlook · British Pound COT positioning · BoE rate expectations · UK economic surprises

Other pairs: EUR/AUD 52% long · EUR/CAD 53% long · EUR/CHF 74% long · EUR/JPY 49% long · EUR/NZD 38% long · EUR/USD 64% long · GBP/AUD 50% long · GBP/CAD 33% long · GBP/CHF 66% long · GBP/JPY 54% long · all 30

Aggregated retail broker positioning, read every 20 minutes in the terminal; this page is rebuilt through the day. Not financial advice.