WatchTower

Positioning · retail sentiment · read at 08:31 UTC on 12 November 2026

GBP/CHF retail sentiment: long vs short

As of 08:31 UTC on 12 November 2026, 66% of retail traders are long GBP/CHF and 34% short, a long/short ratio of 1.94. A week earlier, on 5 November, 67% were long, so the crowd is 1 point more short this week.

The long share over 120 days

Over the 120 days the terminal holds (since 11 July), the long share has run from 9% to 74%; today's reading is higher than on 31% of those days.

Share of retail traders long GBP/CHF, daily, 11 Jul to 12 Nov 2026. The dashed line is 50%.

The COT view beside it

Speculators in pound futures are net long 26,663 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 49th percentile of their own range. British Pound COT positioning

Speculators in Swiss franc futures are net short 16,845 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 22nd percentile of their own range. Swiss Franc COT positioning

Retail shows the crowd at retail brokers; the CFTC report shows speculators in futures, weekly. The two often sit on opposite sides. This week's full report: the COT report.

Questions

Are retail traders long or short GBP/CHF?

As of 08:31 UTC on 12 November 2026, 66% of retail traders are long GBP/CHF and 34% short, a long/short ratio of 1.94. The crowd leans long, 66% on one side.

How has GBP/CHF retail sentiment changed this week?

A week earlier, on 5 November, 67% were long, so the crowd is 1 point more short this week.

Is GBP/CHF retail positioning extreme?

Over the 120 days the terminal holds (since 11 July), the long share has run from 9% to 74%; today's reading is higher than on 31% of those days. That is inside its recent range rather than at an edge of it.

What does the COT report say about GBP/CHF?

Speculators in pound futures are net long 26,663 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 49th percentile of their own range. Speculators in Swiss franc futures are net short 16,845 contracts (CFTC, positions at 3 Nov), at the 22nd percentile of their own range.

How do traders read retail sentiment?

Many traders read it as a contrarian gauge: a crowd leaning heavily one way has often been on the wrong side of the move that follows, and is the side forced out when price runs against it. It is a description of positioning, not a signal. In WatchTower Terminal's composite score retail positioning is read that way, at a weight of 10%, alongside CFTC positioning, rates and research.

More on GBP/CHF: GBP/CHF analysis · GBP/CHF rate differential · GBP/CHF seasonality · British Pound outlook · British Pound COT positioning · BoE rate expectations · UK economic surprises · Swiss Franc outlook · Swiss Franc COT positioning · SNB rate expectations · Swiss economic surprises

Other pairs: AUD/CHF 79% long · CAD/CHF 80% long · CHF/JPY 31% long · EUR/CHF 74% long · EUR/GBP 75% long · GBP/AUD 50% long · GBP/CAD 33% long · GBP/JPY 54% long · GBP/NZD 39% long · GBP/USD 57% long · all 30

Aggregated retail broker positioning, read every 20 minutes in the terminal; this page is rebuilt through the day. Not financial advice.