WatchTower

Bank of England · decided · 5 Nov 2026

What did the Bank of England decide in November 2026?

On 5 November 2026, the Bank of England raised its rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%. The day before, on 4 November 2026, markets priced a 76% chance that the Bank of England raises rates at its 5 November 2026 meeting, with the policy rate implied at 3.94% after it, on WatchTower Terminal's read of exchange-traded futures (WatchTower model).

Two weeks earlier (22 Oct) the same outcome led at 80%, so the pricing has eased by 4 points.

What was priced for 5 November

ReadingHikeHoldCutImplied rate after
Day before4 Nov 76%24%0%3.94%
Two weeks before22 Oct 80%20%0%3.95%
Four weeks before8 Oct 68%32%0%3.92%

Read from exchange-traded futures (WatchTower model) on WatchTower Terminal. The history starts with our daily snapshots; a row is missing where no market-built snapshot exists for that day.

Questions

What did the Bank of England do in November 2026?

On 5 November 2026, the Bank of England raised its rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%. The day before, on 4 November 2026, markets priced a 76% chance that the Bank of England raises rates at its 5 November 2026 meeting, with the policy rate implied at 3.94% after it, on WatchTower Terminal's read of exchange-traded futures (WatchTower model).

When is the Bank of England's November 2026 meeting?

The Bank of England's mpc announcement is on Thursday, 5 November 2026, per its own published calendar.

What are the odds for the Bank of England's November meeting?

As of 4 November 2026: hike 76%, hold 24%, cut 0%. The three are read from exchange-traded futures (WatchTower model).

What is priced after November?

17 Dec 2026: 65% hike, 4.16% implied; 4 Feb 2027: 64% hike, 4.32% implied; 18 Mar 2027: 62% hike, 4.48% implied.

Bank of England's other meeting pages: 17 Dec 2026

Other meetings coming up: Reserve Bank of Australia, 8 Dec · Federal Reserve, 9 Dec · Bank of Canada, 9 Dec · Reserve Bank of New Zealand, 9 Dec · Swiss National Bank, 10 Dec · European Central Bank, 17 Dec · Bank of Japan, 18 Dec

In WatchTower Terminal the Central bank panel moves with the pricing through the day; the terminal is $10 for the first month. Nothing here is financial advice.